2024 Golden Globes Awards Predictions

The Golden Globes have plenty of movies to sift through and consider for its upcoming 81st annual awards ceremony. With “Killers of the Flower Moon” and “Maestro” on the drama side and “The Color Purple” and “Poor Things” in comedy, alongside the buzzy summer double-feature “Barbenheimer,” a star-studded event is indeed awaiting viewers.

More from Variety

• In the Pink: Super-Producer Mark Ronson on Making the Music for 'Barbie,' and How Dua Lipa's Song Changed to Fit the Film

• From 'Saltburn' to 'Barbie,' Seven Scene-Stealing Cameos Strong Enough to Deserve Their Own Oscar Category

• 'Fellow Travelers': Jonathan Bailey Won't Compete With Co-Star Matt Bomer in Golden Globes Race, Will Submit as Supporting (EXCLUSIVE)

The Globes have entered a new era with the Hollywood Foreign Press Association now disbanded, with many of its problematic members expelled; the annual awards season staple has traditionally been second to the Oscars regarding TV ratings. Under new leadership, the group seeks to reclaim its glory days of fun and memorable affairs.

Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Oscars predictions in all categories.

One of the most impactful changes is the expansion of films and performances that will be recognized. According to the eligibility and rules guide, each category will nominate six nominees, an increase from five, except the new best cinematic and box office achievement category (for movies that grossed more than $150 million, with at least $100 million in the U.S.), which will name eight.

More spots mean more of an opportunity for more “Barbenheimer” actors who could use a boost, like supporting actress contenders Emily Blunt and America Ferrera.

In the drama races, movies helmed by some of cinema’s most beloved masters are likely to square off: Christopher Nolan for “Oppenheimer” and Martin Scorsese for “Killers of the Flower Moon,” who will also be among the favorites for best director.

The 300+ members will also have the chance to embrace timely films surrounding lost love (Celine Song’s “Past Lives”) and racial relations (Ava DuVernay’s “Origin”). The comedy landscape is more competitive than its drama counterparts, especially compared to previous years. At the top of the heap is Greta Gerwig’s billion-dollar smash “Barbie,” likely to be one of the most nominated movies this year. The WB sensation seems destined to face off against Searchlight’s “Poor Things” and Focus Features’ “The Holdovers.”

Amazon MGM has a pair of dramedies that could factor into the race significantly – Ben Affleck’s Nike sneaker hit “Air” and Cord Jefferson’s TIFF Audience Award winner, “American Fiction.”

The nom expansion will also provide more runway for acting contenders trying to secure Academy love.

The lead-acting races are overflowing.

In lead drama actor, megastars like Bradley Cooper (“Maestro”), Leonardo DiCaprio (“Flower Moon”) and Cillian Murphy (“Oppenheimer”) will battle with notables from films that hope not to have a sole acting mention such as Colman Domingo (“Rustin”) and Andrew Scott (“All of Us Strangers”).

Comedy actor has two frontrunners leading the charge. “American Fiction’s” Jeffrey Wright ready to take on “The Holdovers’” Paul Giamatti, a former winner of the category for “Barney’s Version.” They’ll have A-listers in the mix like Nicolas Cage “(“Dream Scenario”) and Matt Damon (“Air”).

Both actress races have talent, beauty and style that will be popular among voters. Lily Gladstone (“Flower Moon”) will take on Carey Mulligan (“Maestro”) and Natalie Portman (“May December”), with possibilities for Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (“Origin”) and Sandra Hüller (“Anatomy of a Fall”).

The chuckles felt from the likes of Margot Robbie (“Barbie”) and Emma Stone (“Poor Things”) seem locked and loaded for attention (at least Globes-wise). Even though “The Color Purple” is one of the last contenders to drop, that shouldn’t stop Fantasia Barrino from nabbing a spot, according to early buzz.

This is all open to debate, and it’s still relatively early in the awards season. So, anything can happen.

Noteworthy: as many may know from following me on social media over the past decade, I strongly disdain ties at awards shows. Does anybody remember the three best actress (drama) winners in 1988, Jodie Foster, Shirley MacLaine and Sigourney Weaver? Well, the chances of that happening again are nearly impossible after the group inputs new measures when voting for winners.

It reads: “In the case of a tie in any category, the winner will be the one of the tied nominees on the final ballot that had the most votes on the nomination ballot. In the unlikely event that there is still a tie in any category after considering the nomination ballots, two winners will be announced.”

I’m claiming this rule just for me.

In TV, we’ll see some of the Emmy frontrunners, such as HBO’s “Succession,” Apple’s “Ted Lasso” and Netflix’s “Beef,” hold steady with multiple noms. The new shows like Disney’s “Ashoka” or Apple’s “Lessons in Chemistry” could also breakthrough with its leading stars such as Rosario Dawson and Brie Larson. There’s always room for a shock or two, so we could still see Lily Rose-Depp or Rachel Sennott crack their respective lineups for HBO’s “The Idol” despite the panned reviews.

A different voting body will yield some unpredictable results. Still, establishment choices such as Hulu’s murder-mystery comedy “Only Murders in the Building” and the final season of Netflix’s “The Crown” should have healthy showings.

The new category for stand-up will be very competitive, with so many notable names and specials in the running.

Chris Rock broke the seal for Netflix in the live event space with “Selective Outrage,” so he’ll likely make the cut along with some of his streaming counterparts like Tom Segura (“Sledgehammer”) and Wanda Sykes (“I’m an Entertainer”). It could be a category tailor-made for the streamers.

Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest SAG Awards predictions

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:

OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS

Updated: Nov. 14, 2023

FILM CATEGORIES

Motion Picture (Drama)

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)

2. “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)

3. “Maestro” (Netflix)

4. “Past Lives” (A24)

5. “Origin” (Neon)

6. “The Zone of Interest” (A24)

Also in contention: “All of Us Strangers” (Searchlight Pictures); “Anatomy of a Fall” (Neon); “Ferrari” (Neon); “The Iron Claw” (A24); “Napoleon” (Apple Original Films/Sony Pictures); “Nyad” (Netflix); “Priscilla” (A24); “Saltburn” (Amazon MGM Studios); “Society of the Snow” (Netflix); “The Taste of Things” (IFC Films/Sapan Studios)

Last five winners: “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures), “The Power of the Dog” (Netflix), “Nomadland” (Searchlight Pictures), “1917” (Universal Pictures), “Bohemian Rhapsody” (Paramount Pictures)

Motion Picture (Comedy or Musical)

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. “Barbie” (Warner Bros.)

2. “Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures)

3. “American Fiction” (MGM)

4. “The Holdovers” (Focus Features)

5. “May December” (Netflix)

6. “Air” (Amazon MGM Studios)

Also in contention: “Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret.” (Lionsgate); “Asteroid City” (Focus Features); “Bottoms” (MGM); “The Burial” (Amazon MGM Studios); “The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.); “Dream Scenario” (A24); “Dumb Money” (Sony Pictures); “Flora and Son” (Apple Original Films); “Next Goal Wins” (Searchlight Pictures); “Wonka” (Warner Bros.)

Last five winners: “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures); “West Side Story” (20th Century Studios); “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm: Delivery of Prodigious Bribe to American Regime for Make Benefit Once Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan” (Amazon Studios); “Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood” (Sony Pictures); “Green Book” (Universal Pictures)

Cinematic and Box Office Achievement

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. “Barbie” (Warner Bros.)

2. “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)

3. “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” (Sony Pictures)

4. “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3” (Marvel Studios)

5. “The Super Mario Bros. Movie” (Illumination)

6. “The Little Mermaid” (Walt Disney Pictures)

7. “John Wick: Chapter 4” (Lionsgate)

8. “Creed III” (MGM)

Also in contention: “Elemental” (Pixar); “Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny” (Walt Disney Pictures); “Sound of Freedom” (Angel Studios); “Scream VI” (Paramount Pictures); “Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem” (Paramount Pictures)

Last five winners: First time category

Motion Picture (Non English Language)

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. “Anatomy of a Fall” (Neon) — France

2. “The Taste of Things” (IFC Films/Sapan Studio) — France

3. “The Zone of Interest” (A24) — United Kingdom

4. “Society of the Snow” (Netflix) — Spain

5. “The Teachers Lounge” (Sony Pictures Classics) — Germany

6. “Fallen Leaves” (Mubi) — Finland

Also in contention: “The Boy and the Heron” (Japan); “The Peasants” (Poland); “Past Lives” (United States); “Perfect Days” (Japan); “Shayda” (Australia); “Society of the Snow” (Spain);

Last five winners: “Argentina 1985” (Argentina); “Drive My Car” (Japan); “Minari” (United States); “Parasite” (South Korea); “Roma” (Mexico)

Motion Picture (Animated)

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” (Sony Pictures)

2. “Wish” (Walt Disney Pictures)

3. “The Boy and the Heron” (GKids)

4. “Elemental” (Pixar)

5. “Robot Dreams” (Neon)

6. “They Shot the Piano Player” (Sony Pictures Classics)

Also in contention: “Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nugget” (Netflix); “Migration” (Illumination); “Nimona” (Netflix); “The Peasants” (Sony Pictures Classics); “The Super Mario Bros. Movie” (Illumination); “Suzume” (Crunchyroll); “Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem” (Paramount Pictures); “Trolls Band Together” (DreamWorks Animation)

Last five winners: “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (Netflix); “Encanto” (Walt Disney Pictures); “Soul” (Pixar); “Missing Link” (Laika); “Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse” (Sony Pictures Animation)

Actor in a Motion Picture (Drama)

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. Bradley Cooper — “Maestro” (Netflix)

2. Cillian Murphy — “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)

3. Leonardo DiCaprio — “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)

4. Colman Domingo — “Rustin” (Netflix)

5. Andrew Scott — “All of Us Strangers” (Searchlight Pictures)

6. Barry Keoghan — “Saltburn” (Amazon MGM Studios)

Also in contention: Adam Driver, “Ferrari” (Neon); Zac Efron, “The Iron Claw” (A24); Anthony Hopkins, “Freud’s Last Session” (Sony Pictures Classics); Joaquin Phoenix, “Napoleon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures); Kôji Yakusho, “Perfect Days” (Neon)

Last five winners: Austin Butler, “Elvis” (Warner Bros.); Will Smith, “King Richard” (Warner Bros.); Chadwick Boseman, “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” (Netflix); Joaquin Phoenix, “Joker” (Warner Bros.); Rami Malek, “Bohemian Rhapsody” (Paramount Pictures)

Actor in a Motion Picture (Comedy or Musical)

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. Jeffrey Wright — “American Fiction” (MGM)

2. Paul Giamatti — “The Holdovers” (Focus Features)

3. Matt Damon — “Air” (Amazon MGM Studios)

4. Jamie Foxx — “The Burial” (Amazon MGM Studios)

5. Timothée Chalamet — “Wonka” (Warner Bros.)

6. Nicolas Cage — “Dream Scenario” (A24)

Also in contention: Gael García Bernal, “Cassandro” (Amazon MGM Studios); Paul Dano, “Dumb Money” (Sony Pictures); Michael Fassbender, “Next Goal Wins” (Searchlight Pictures); Jesse Garcia, “Flamin’ Hot” (Hulu/Searchlight Pictures); Orén Kinlan, “Flora and Son” (Apple Original Films); Xolo Maridueña, “Blue Beetle” (Warner Bros.); Chris Pratt, “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3” (Marvel Studios); Jaime Vadell, “El Conde” (Netflix)

Last five winners: Colin Farrell, “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures); Andrew Garfield, “Tick, Tick … Boom!” (Netflix); Sacha Baron Cohen, “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm” (Amazon Studios); Taron Egerton, “Rocketman” (Paramount Pictures); Christian Bale, “Vice” (Annapurna Pictures)

Actress in a Motion Picture (Drama)

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. Lily Gladstone — “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)

2. Carey Mulligan — “Maestro” (Netflix)

3. Sandra Hüller — “Anatomy of a Fall” (Neon)

4. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor — “Origin” (Neon)

5. Annette Bening — “Nyad” (Netflix)

6. Greta Lee — “Past Lives” (A24)

Also in contention: Leonie Benesch, “The Teachers’ Lounge” (Sony Pictures Classics); Jessie Buckley, “Fingernails” (Apple Original Films); Jessica Chastain, “Memory” (Ketchup Entertainment); Phoebe Dynevor, “Fair Play” (Netflix); Zar Amir Ebrahimi, “Shadya” (Sony Pictures Classics); Trace Lysette, “Monica” (IFC Films); Helen Mirren, “Golda” (Bleecker Street); Cailee Spaeny, “Priscilla” (A24); Teyana Taylor, “A Thousand and One” (Focus Features); Michelle Williams, “Showing Up” (A24)

Last five winners: Cate Blanchett, “Tar” (Focus Features); Nicole Kidman, “Being the Ricardos” (Amazon Studios); Andra Day, “The United States vs. Billie Holiday” (Searchlight Pictures); Renée Zellweger, “Judy” (LD Entertainment and Roadside Attractions); Glenn Close, “The Wife” (Sony Pictures Classics)

Actress in a Motion Picture (Comedy or Musical)

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. Emma Stone — “Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures)

2. Margot Robbie — “Barbie” (Warner Bros.)

3. Natalie Portman — “May December” (Netflix)

4. Fantasia Barrino — “The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.)

5. Halle Bailey — “The Little Mermaid” (Walt Disney Pictures)

6. Rachel Sennott — “Bottoms” (Amazon MGM Studios)

Also in contention: Emily Blunt, “Pain Hustlers” (Netflix); Julia Louis-Dreyfus — “You Hurt My Feelings” (A24); Ayo Edebiri, “Bottoms” (MGM/Orion); Abby Ryder Fortson — “Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret” (Lionsgate); Molly Gordon, “Theater Camp” (Searchlight Pictures); Eve Hewson, “Flora and Son” (Apple Original Films); Jennifer Lawrence, “No Hard Feelings” (Sony Pictures); Priya Kansara, “Polite Society” (Focus Features); Layla Mohammadi, “The Persian Version” (Sony Pictures Classics); Ashley Park, “Joy Ride” (Lionsgate)

Last five winners: Michelle Yeoh, “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24); Rachel Zegler, “West Side Story” (20th Century Studios); Rosamund Pike, “I Care A Lot” (Netflix); Awkwafina, “The Farewell” (A24); Olivia Colman, “The Favourite” (Searchlight Pictures)

Supporting Actor – Motion Picture

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. Ryan Gosling – “Barbie” (Warner Bros.)

2. Robert DeNiro – “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)

3. Robert Downey Jr. – “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)

4. Mark Ruffalo – “Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures)

5. Willem Dafoe — “Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures)

6. Charles Melton – “May December” (Netflix)

Also in contention: Ben Affleck, “Air” (Amazon Studios); Sterling K. Brown, “American Fiction” (MGM); Jacob Elordi, “Saltburn” (Amazon Studios); Glenn Howerton, “Blackberry” (IFC Films); John Magaro, “Past Lives” (A24); Paul Mescal, “All of Us Strangers” (Searchlight Pictures); Jesse Plemons, “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures); Peter Sarsgaard, “Memory” (Ketchup Entertainment); Dominic Sessa, “The Holdovers” (Focus Features); Jeremy Allen White, “The Iron Claw” (A24)

Last five winners: Ke Huy Quan, “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24); Kodi Smit-McPhee, “The Power of the Dog” (Netflix); Daniel Kaluuya, “Judas and the Black Messiah” (Warner Bros.); Brad Pitt, “Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood” (Sony Pictures); Mahershala Ali, “Green Book” (Universal Pictures)

Supporting Actress – Motion Picture

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. Emily Blunt — “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)

2. Da’Vine Joy Randolph — “The Holdovers” (Focus Features)

3. Penélope Cruz — “Ferrari” (Neon)

4. Jodie Foster – “Nyad” (Netflix)

5. America Ferrera — “Barbie” (Warner Bros.)

6. Claire Foy – “All of Us Strangers” (Searchlight Pictures)

Also in contention: Juliette Binoche, “The Taste of Things” (IFC Films/Sapan Studios); Danielle Brooks, “The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.); Viola Davis, “Air” (Amazon MGM Studios); Taraji P. Henson, “The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.); Sandra Hüller, “The Zone of Interest” (A24); Scarlett Johansson, “Asteroid City” (Focus Features); Rachel McAdams, “Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret” (Lionsgate); Vanessa Kirby, “Napoleon” (Apple Original Films/Sony Pictures); Julianne Moore, “May December” (Netflix); Rosamund Pike, “Saltburn” (Amazon Studios)

Last five winners: Angela Bassett, “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios); Ariana DeBose, “West Side Story” (20th Century Studios); Jodie Foster, “The Mauritanian” (STX Films); Laura Dern, “Marriage Story” (Netflix); Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk” (Annapurna Pictures)

Director – Motion Picture

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. Martin Scorsese — “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)

2. Christopher Nolan — “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)

3. Greta Gerwig — “Barbie” (Warner Bros.)

4. Yorgos Lanthimos — “Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures)

5. Bradley Cooper — “Maestro” (Netflix)

6. Celine Song — “Past Lives” (A24)

Also in contention: Ava DuVernay, “Origin” (Neon); Emerald Fennell, “Saltburn” (Amazon MGM Studios); David Fincher, “The Killer” (Netflix); Jonathan Glazer, “The Zone of Interest” (A24); Todd Haynes, “May December” (Netflix); Trần Anh Hùng, “The Taste of Things” (IFC Films/Sapan Studios); Cord Jefferson, “American Fiction” (MGM); Michael Mann, “Ferrari” (Neon); Alexander Payne, “The Holdovers” (Focus Features); Ridley Scott, “Napoleon” (Apple Original Films/Sony Pictures)

Last five winners: Steven Spielberg, “The Fablemans” (Universal Pictures); Jane Campion, “The Power of the Dog” (Netflix); Chloé Zhao, “Nomadland” (Searchlight Pictures); Sam Mendes, “1917” (Universal Pictures); Alfonso Cuarón, “Roma” (Netflix)

Screenplay – Motion Picture

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. “Barbie” (Warner Bros.) — Greta Gerwig, Noah Baumbach

2. “Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures) — Tony McNamara

3. “The Holdovers” (Focus Features) — David Hemingson

4. “Past Lives” (A24) — Celine Song

5. “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures) — Christopher Nolan

6. “American Fiction” (MGM) — Cord Jefferson

Also in contention: “Air” (Amazon Studios) — Alex Convery; “All of Us Strangers” (Searchlight Pictures) — Andrew Haigh; “Maestro” (Netflix) — Bradley Cooper, Josh Singer; “May December” (Netflix) — Samy Burch, Alex Mechanik; “Origin” (Neon) — Ava DuVernay

Last five winners: “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures); “Belfast” (Focus Features); “The Trial of the Chicago 7” (Netflix); “Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood” (Sony Pictures); “Green Book” (Universal Pictures);

Original Score

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. Ludwig Göransson — “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)

2. Robbie Robertson— “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)

3. Mica Levi — “The Zone of Interest” (A24)

4. Daniel Pemberton — “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” (Sony Pictures)

5. Joe Hisaishi — “The Boy and the Heron” (GKids)

6. Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross — “The Killer” (Netflix)

Also in contention: Laura Karpman — “American Fiction” (MGM); Mark Ronson, Andrew Wyatt — “Barbie” (Warner Bros.); Thomas Newman – “Elemental” (Pixar); Alexandre Desplat – “Nyad” (Netflix); Jerskin Fendrix — “Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures)

Last five winners: Justin Hurwitz — “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures); “Dune” (Warner Bros.) – Hans Zimmer; “Soul” (Pixar) – Jon Batiste, Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross; “Joker” (Warner Bros.) – Hildur Guðnadóttir; “First Man” (Universal Pictures) — Justin Hurwitz

Original Song

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. “Barbie” (Warner Bros.) — “What Was I Made For?” by Billie Eilish and Finneas

2. “Wish” (Walt Disney Pictures) — “This Wish” by Julia Michaels and Benjamin Rice

3. “Barbie” (Warner Bros.) — “Dance the Night” by Caroline Ailin, Dua Lipa, Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt

4. “Flamin’ Hot” (Hulu/Searchlight Pictures) — “The Fire Inside” by Diane Warren

5. “Trolls Band Together” (DreamWorks Animation) — “Better Place” by Justin Timberlake, Karl Schuster, Amy Allen

6. “The Super Mario Bros. Movie” (Illumination) — “Peaches” by Jack Black, Aaron Horvath, Michael Jelenic, Eric Osmond, and John Spiker

Also in contention: “Barbie” (Warner Bros.) — “I’m Just Ken” by Mark Ronson, Andrew Wyatt; “Flora and Son” (Apple Original Films) — “High Life” by John Carney, Gary Clark and star Eve Hewson; “The Little Mermaid” (Walt Disney Pictures) — “For the First Time” by Alan Menken and Lin-Manuel Miranda; “Origin” (Neon) — “I Am” by Stan Walker, Michael Fatkin, Vince Harder, Te Kanapu Anasta; “Rustin” (Netflix) — “Road to Freedom” by Lenny Kravitz; “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” (Sony Pictures) — “Am I Dreaming” by Leland Wayne, Rakim Mayers, Michael Dean, Peter Lee Johnson, Landon Wayne; “Theater Camp” (Searchlight Pictures) — “Camp Isn’t Home” by Noah Galvin, Molly Gordon, Nick Lieberman, Ben Platt and Mark Sonnenblick; “Wonka” (Warner Bros.) — “A World of Your Own” by Neil Hannon, Simon Farnabay, Paul King

Last five winners: “Naatu Nattu” from “RRR” (Variance Films); “No Time to Die” from “No Time to Die” (MGM/United Artists Releasing); “Io si (Seen)” from “The Life Ahead” (Netflix); “(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again” from “Rocketman” (Paramount Pictures); “Shallow” from “A Star is Born” (Warner Bros.)

TV CATEGORIES

Television Series – Drama

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. “Succession” (HBO)

2. “The Last of Us” (HBO)

3. “The Crown” (Netflix)

4. “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)

5. “The Diplomat” (Netflix)

6. “The Curse” (Showtime)

Also in contention: “1923” (Paramount+); “Ahsoka” (Disney+); “The Changeling” (Apple TV+); “The Gilded Age” (HBO); “Loki” (Disney+); “One Piece” (Netflix); “Outlander” (Starz); “Queen Charlotte: A Bridgerton Story” (Netflix); “Silo” (Apple TV+); “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (HBO)

Last five winners: “House of the Dragon” (2022); “Succession” (2021); “The Crown” (2020); “Succession” (2019); “The Americans” (2018)

Television Series – Musical or Comedy

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. “The Bear” (FX)

2. “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)

3. “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)

4. “Jury Duty” (Amazon Freevee)

5. “Frasier” (Paramount+)

6. “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)

Also in contention: “Barry” (HBO); “Based on a True Story” (Peacock); “The Great” (Hulu); “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Amazon Prime Video); “Poker Face” (Peacock); “Primo” (Amazon Freevee); “Sex Education” (Netflix); “Shining Vale” (Starz); “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)

Last five winners: “Abbott Elementary” (2022); “Hacks” (2021); “Schitt’s Creek” (2020); “Fleabag” (2019); “The Kominsky Method” (2018)

Television Series – Limited, Anthology or TV Movie

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. “Beef” (Netflix)

2. “Lessons in Chemistry” (Apple TV+)

3. “Daisy Jones and the Six” (Amazon Prime Video)

4. “All the Light We Cannot See” (Netflix)

5. “A Small Light” (National Geographic)

6. “Fellow Travelers” (Showtime)

Also in contention: “American Horror Story: Delicate” (FX); “Black Mirror” (Netflix); “Dead Ringers” (Amazon Prime Video); “Fargo” (FX); “Love and Death” (HBO); “A Murder at the End of the World” (FX); “Painkiller” (Netflix); “Swarm” (Amazon Prime Video); “Tiny Beautiful Things” (Hulu)

Last five winners: “The White Lotus” (2022); “The Underground Railroad” (2021); “The Queen’s Gambit” (2020); “Chernobyl” (2019); “The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story” (2018)

Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. John Mulaney — “Baby J” (Netflix)

2. Chris Rock — “Selective Outrage” (Netflix)

3. Tom Segura — “Sledgehammer” (Netflix)

4. Wanda Sykes — “I’m an Entertainer” (Netflix)

5. Nate Bargatze — “Hello World” (Amazon Prime Video)

6. Marlon Wayans — “God Loves Me” (HBO)

Also in contention: Mike Birbiglia — “The Old Man & the Pool” (Netflix); John Early — “Now More Than Ever” (HBO); Jared Freid — “37 and Single” (Netflix); Sam Jay — “Salute Me or Shoot Me” (HBO); Bert Kreischer — “Razzle Dazzle” (Netflix); Marc Maron — “From Bleak to Dark” (HBO); Matt Rife — “Natural Selection” (Netflix); Andrew Santino — “Cheeseburger” (Netflix); Sarah Silverman — “Sarah Silverman: Someone You Love” (HBO)

Actor in a TV Series (Drama)

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. Pedro Pascal — “The Last of Us” (HBO)

2. Kieran Culkin — “Succession” (HBO)

3. Jeremy Strong — “Succession” (HBO)

4. Harrison Ford — “1923” (Paramount+)

5. John C. Reilly — “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (HBO)

6. Nathan Fielder — “The Curse” (Showtime)

Also in contention: Gabriel Basso — “The Night Agent” (Netflix); Brian Cox — “Succession” (HBO); Tom Hiddleston — “Loki” (Disney+); Idris Elba — “Hijack” (Apple TV+); Damson Idris — “Snowfall” (FX); Zahn McClarnon — “Dark Winds” (AMC); Quincy Isaiah — “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (HBO); Lakieth Stanfield — “The Changeling” (Apple TV+); The Weeknd — “The Idol” (HBO); Dominic West — “The Crown” (Netflix)

Last five winners: Kevin Costner — “Yellowstone” (2022); Jeremy Strong — “Succession” (2021); Josh O’Connor — “The Crown” (2020); Brian Cox — “Succession” (2019); Richard Madden — “Bodyguard” (2018)

Actress in a TV Series (Drama)

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. Sarah Snook — “Succession” (HBO)

2. Bella Ramsey — “The Last of Us” (HBO)

3. Jennifer Aniston — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)

4. Keri Russell — “The Diplomat” (Netflix)

5. Lily Rose-Depp — “The Idol” (HBO)

6. Rosario Dawson — “Ahsoka” (Disney+)

Also in contention: India Amarteifio — “Queen Charlotte” (Netflix); Caitríona Balfe — “Outlander” (Starz); Carrie Coon — “The Gilded Age” (HBO); Rebecca Ferguson — “Silo” (Apple TV+); Sarah Michelle Gellar — “Wolf Pack” (Paramount+); Melanie Lynskey — “Yellowjackets” (Showtime); Helen Mirren — “1923” (Paramount+); Rosamund Pike — “The Wheel of Time” (Amazon Prime Video); Emma Stone — “The Curse” (Showtime); Reese Witherspoon — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)

Last five winners: Zendaya — “Euphoria” (2022); Michaela Jaé Rodriguez — “Pose” (2021); Emma Corrin — “The Crown” (2020); Olivia Colman — “The Crown” (2019); Sandra Oh — “Killing Eve” (2018)

Actor in a TV Series (Musical or Comedy)

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. Jeremy Allen White — “The Bear” (FX)

2. Jason Sudeikis — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)

3. Bill Hader — “Barry” (HBO)

4. Kelsey Grammer — “Frasier” (Paramount+)

5. Steve Martin — “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)

6. Jharrel Jerome — “I’m a Virgo” (Amazon Prime Video)

Also in contention: Asa Butterfield — “Sex Education” (Netflix); Rhys Darby — “Our Flag Means Death” (HBO); Ignacio Diaz-Silverio — “Primo” (Amazon Freevee); Joel McHale — “Animal Control” (Fox); Chris Messina — “Based on a True Story” (Peacock); Bob Odenkirk — “Lucky Hank” (AMC); Jason Segel — “Shrinking” (Apple TV+); Martin Short — “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu); Drew Tarver — “The Other Two” (HBO); D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai — “Reservation Dogs” (FX)

Last five winners: Jeremy Allen White — “The Bear” (2022); Jason Sudeikis — “Ted Lasso” (2021); Jason Sudeikis — “Ted Lasso” (2020); Ramy Youssef — “Ramy” (2019); Michael Douglas — “The Kominsky Method” (2018)

Actress in a TV Series (Musical or Comedy)

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. Ayo Edebiri — “The Bear” (FX)

2. Natasha Lyonne — “Poker Face” (Peacock)

3. Quinta Brunson — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)

4. Rachel Brosnahan — “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Amazon Prime Video)

5. Selena Gomez — “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)

6. Sarah Jessica Parker — “And Just Like That” (HBO)

Also in contention: Gillian Anderson — “Sex Education” (Netflix); Courteney Cox — “Shining Vale” (Starz); Kaley Cuoco — “Based on a True Story” (Peacock); Bridget Everett — “Somebody Somewhere” (HBO); Elle Fanning — “The Great” (Hulu); Devery Jacobs — “Reservation Dogs” (FX); Jasmine Cephas Jones — “Blindspotting” (FX); Sarah Lancashire — “Julia” (HBO); Rose McIver — “Ghosts” (CBS); Kerry Washington — “Unprisoned” (Hulu); Helene Yorke — “The Other Two” (HBO)

Last five winners: Quinta Brunson — “Abbott Elementary” (2022); Jean Smart — “Hacks” (2021); Catherine O’Hara — “Schitt’s Creek” (2020); Phoebe Waller-Bridge — “Fleabag” (2019); Rachel Brosnahan — “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (2018)

Actor in a TV Series (Limited, Anthology or TV Movie)

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. Steven Yeun — “Beef” (Netflix)

2. Jon Hamm — “Fargo” (FX)

3. Matt Bomer — “Fellow Travelers” (Showtime)

4. Sam Claflin — “Daisy Jones and the Six” (Amazon Prime Video)

5. Matthew Broderick — “Painkiller” (Netflix)

6. Jonathan Bailey — “Fellow Travelers” (Showtime)

Also in contention: Nicholas Galitzine — “Red, White and Royal Blue” (Amazon Prime Video); Bruce Greenwood — “Fall of the House of Usher” (Netflix); André Holland — “The Big Cigar” (Apple TV+); Josh Hartnett — “Black Mirror” (Netflix); Louis Hofmann — “All the Light We Cannot See” (Netflix); Tom Holland — “The Crowded Room” (Apple TV+); David Oyelowo — “Lawmen: Bass Reeves” (Paramount+); Taylor Zakhar Perez — “Red, White and Royal Blue” (Amazon Prime Video); Aaron Paul — “Black Mirror” (Netflix); Kiefer Sutherland — “The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial” (Paramount+); Tony Shalhoub — “Mr. Monk’s Last Case” (Peacock)

Last five winners: Evan Peters — “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (2022); Michael Keaton — “Dopesick” (2021); Mark Ruffalo — “I Know This Much Is True” (2020); Russell Crowe — “The Loudest Voice” (2019); Darren Criss — “The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story” (2018)

Actress in a TV Series (Limited, Anthology or TV Movie)

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. Brie Larson — “Lessons in Chemistry” (Apple TV+)

2. Ali Wong — “Beef” (Netflix)

3. Riley Keough — “Daisy Jones and the Six” (Amazon Prime Video)

4. Elizabeth Olsen — “Love and Death” (HBO)

5. Dominique Fishback — “Swarm” (Amazon Prime Video)

6. Sydney Sweeney — “Reality” (HBO)

Also in contention: Uzo Aduba — “Painkiller” (Netflix); Jennifer Garner — “The Last Thing He Told Me” (Apple TV+); Betty Gilpin — “Mrs. Davis” (Peacock); Kathryn Hahn — “Tiny Beautiful Things” (Hulu); Salma Hayek — “Black Mirror” (Netflix); Aria Mia Loberti — “All the Light We Cannot See” (Netflix); Annie Murphy — “Black Mirror” (Netflix); Bel Powley — “A Small Light” (National Geographic); Juno Temple — “Fargo” (FX); Rachel Weisz — “Dead Ringers” (Amazon Prime Video)

Last five winners: Amanda Seyfried — “The Dropout” (2022); Kate Winslet — “Mare of Easttown” (2021); Anya Taylor-Joy — “The Queen’s Gambit” (2020); Michelle Williams — “Fosse/Verdon” (2019); Patricia Arquette — “Escape at Dannemora” (2018)

Supporting Actor on Television

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. Matthew Macfadyen — “Succession” (HBO)

2. James Marsden — “Jury Duty” (Amazon Freevee)

3. Harrison Ford — “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)

4. Brett Goldstein — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)

5. Young Mazino — “Beef” (Netflix)

6. Tyler James Williams — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)

Also in contention: Billy Crudup — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+); Anthony Carrigan — “Barry” (HBO); Phil Dunster — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+); Jon Hamm — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+); Joe Pesci — “Bupkis” (Peacock); Ke Huy Quan — “Loki” (Disney+); Alan Ruck — “Succession” (HBO); Paul Rudd — “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu); Mark Ruffalo — “All the Light We Cannot See” (Netflix); Henry Winkler — “Barry” (HBO)

Last five winners: Tyler James Williams — “Abbott Elementary” and Paul Walter Hauser — “Blackbird” (2022); O Yeong-su — “Squid Game” (2021); John Boyega — “Small Axe” (2020); Stellan Skarsgård — “Chernobyl” (2019); Ben Whishaw — “A Very English Scandal” (2018)

Supporting Actress on Television

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

1. Meryl Streep — “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)

2. Hannah Waddingham — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)

3. Sheryl Lee Ralph — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)

4. Elizabeth Debicki — “The Crown” (Netflix)

5. Camila Morrone — “Daisy Jones and the Six” (Amazon Prime Video)

6. Jessica Williams — “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)

Also in contention: Maria Bello — “Beef” (Netflix); Alex Borstein — “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Amazon Prime Video); J. Smith Cameron — “Succession” (HBO); Billie Eilish — “Swarm” (Amazon Prime Video); Edie Falco — “Bupkis” (Peacock); Janelle James — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC); Christina Ricci — “Yellowjackets” (Showtime); Rachel Sennott — “The Idol” (HBO); Lisa Ann Walter — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)

Last five winners: Julia Garner — “Ozark” and Jennifer Coolidge — “The White Lotus: Sicily” (2022); Sarah Snook — “Succession” (2021); Gillian Anderson — “The Crown” (2020); Patricia Arquette — “The Act” (2019); Patricia Clarkson — “Sharp Objects” (2018)

Best of Variety

• Oscars Predictions: International Feature – AMPAS' Voting Groups are Set; Which Movies Have the Best Shot at Making the Shortlist?

• Oscars Predictions: Supporting Actress - America Ferrera's Big Year Could be Rewarded With an Academy Award Nomination

• Oscars Predictions: How Will 'The Iron Claw' and 'Napoleon' Fit Into the Awards Race?